{"id":187247,"date":"2024-12-11T12:12:32","date_gmt":"2024-12-11T11:12:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.voyages-d-affaires.com\/?p=187247"},"modified":"2024-12-11T12:21:19","modified_gmt":"2024-12-11T11:21:19","slug":"air-supply-chain-disruptions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.voyages-d-affaires.com\/en\/air-supply-chain-disruptions","title":{"rendered":"Multiple negative repercussions in the air transport sector with disruptions to aeronautical supplies"},"content":{"rendered":"

2025 could be less glamorous than expected for airlines. This is the prediction now being made by the International Air Transport Association (IATA<\/a>)<\/strong>. The association, through the voice of its outspoken Director General Willie Walsh, expects that more serious supply chain problems once again affect airline performance<\/strong> in 2025. In its crystal ball, IATA sees higher operating costs and limited growth<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

IATA is not entirely wrong. Delays in the aircraft manufacturer's supply chain mean fewer aircraft delivered, as well as less ecological and therefore economic efficiency, with the life extension of more fuel-intensive aircraft. IATA has quantified this extra cost in a report.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The average age of the world fleet reached a record 14.8 years this year<\/strong>This represents a significant increase on the 1990-2024 average of 13.6 years. Aircraft deliveries have fallen sharply since peaking at 1,813 in 2018. Estimated deliveries for 2024 are 1,254 aircraft, representing a shortfall of 30 %.<\/strong> compared with forecasts at the start of the year. By 2025, deliveries should total 1,802, well below previous forecasts. The previous forecast was for 2,293 deliveries. Further downward revisions in 2025 are widely considered possible.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fewer orders and more aircraft at a standstill<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The order book<\/strong> (cumulative number of unfilled orders) for new aircraft reached 17,000 devices. <\/strong>Which, according to IATA, is a record. At the current rate of deliveries, it would take 14 years to fill it. That's more than double the average delay for the period 2013-2019. Before Covid, the delivery time was 6 years. However, the waiting time is expected to shorten as delivery rates increase.<\/p>\n\n\n

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Thai Airways Airbus A380s parked at Bangkok airport <\/em>
(Photo: Luc Citrinot)<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

The number of \"parked\" aircraft represents 14 % of the total fleet<\/strong>. Let 5,000 devices<\/strong> of the 35,166 aircraft registered in December 2024. Although the situation has improved recently, the number of aircraft parked remains 4 points above pre-pandemic levels<\/strong>. This represents around 1,600 aircraft. More worryingly, almost 44% of aircraft at a standstill are due to faulty engines<\/strong>. This represents more than<\/strong> 700 devices<\/strong>. IATA estimates that the situation will continue until 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n