The DGAC confirms the stagnation of French air transport in the first half of 2026.

The French air transport sector contracted by 0.8% in the first half of 202-, affected by the Gulf War and sharp rises in ticket prices due to oil prices and taxes.
Air traffic stagnated in the first half of 2026 due to the combined effects of the Gulf War and aviation taxes (Photo: LC with the help of ChatGPT)

With 86.4 million passengers recorded at its airports, Air traffic in metropolitan and overseas France fell by 0.8% in the first half of 2026. The decline is accelerating as a result of the war in the Gulf: a fall of 1.9% in passenger numbers in June, following a fall of 1.3% in May, 3.2% in April and an increase of 1.4% in March.

All routes showed a decline except for three sectors: domestic radial routes, which recorded a total of 5.8 million passenger journeys between January and June. This represents growth of 3%. It would appear that Transavia is indeed having a positive impact on the main routes linking Paris to the major regional cities. Over the first six months, the Paris–Nice route grew by 5.51 per cent quarter-on-quarter and the Paris–Toulouse route by 7.11 per cent quarter-on-quarter. 

‘Françafrique’ is also very much alive – at least as far as air travel is concerned. Between January and June, passenger numbers there rose by 4.2%, totalling 12.7 million travellers. Finally, the last segment to show an increase of 4.5% between January and June was international routes from the overseas territories, totalling 1.3 million passengers. 

International markets hit by the Gulf War and a loss of affection for the United States

Conversely, total passenger numbers across all international routes fell slightly, from 0.6% to 73.5 million. Unsurprisingly, the sharpest decline was in traffic on the Asia-Pacific route network, down by 8.9%. This is mainly because it includes traffic to the Gulf states. Admittedly, the DGAC does not provide figures by sub-region in its bulletin. However, it reports that traffic between France and the United Arab Emirates fell by 25.5% between January and June. The rest of Asia, by contrast, showed an increase, ranging from around 4% to 5%. 

Traffic to the Americas fell by 0.5% in terms of cumulative passenger numbers over the first six months. It is worth noting that the World Cup, which began in June, did not really result in a surge in traffic with the United States, which fell by 3.7% in June and by 2.9% since the start of the year. Conversely, as a knock-on effect, traffic with Canada has risen sharply over the first six months: an increase of 6.6% in passenger numbers. There was also a rise in traffic in June, albeit a more modest one at 1.9%.

Passenger traffic with Europe has also fallen slightly. With 34.7 million passengers within the EU, this traffic fell by 0.8% in the first half of 2026 compared with 2025. Outside the EU, traffic to Europe has been hit harder: it fell by 1.4%, a decline driven in particular by the slump in traffic to Turkey – down by 9% – due to the Gulf War.

As for airports, four of the ten largest have seen a fall in passenger numbers. The sharpest decline in the first half of the year was at Basel-Mulhouse Airport, where renovation work on the main runway lasting nearly a quarter led to an 18% drop in traffic. Beauvais is also in a difficult position, with a fall of nearly 7% in total passenger numbers, due to Ryanair’s withdrawal following the rise in air passenger duty in France.

On the other hand, there is good news for airports in the south-west: Bordeaux and Toulouse are finally bouncing back after several years of decline. The Gironde airport recorded passenger growth of 7.9% in the first half of the year, whilst Toulouse saw an improvement of 0.9%. As for Paris, whilst CDG has stagnated (-0.2% over six months), Orly has seen growth of 2% over the first six months…